Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/GBP pairs and bearish for GBP/xxx pairs.
The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is high.
There is no forecast value for Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) yet - check back for updates.
The most recent announced value for Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) was 3.5% against a forecast of 3.6%.
Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) result:
Previous | Latest | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Consumer Price Index (MoM) | Bullish change | -0.1% | 0.4% | ||
Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 3% | 2.8% | ||
Retail Price Index (MoM) | Bullish change | -0.1% | 0.6% | ||
Retail Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | 3.6% | 3.4% | ||
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | Bullish change | 50.5 | 52 | ||
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI | Bearish change | 46.9 | 44.6 | ||
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI | Bullish change | 51 | 53.2 | ||
GfK Consumer Confidence | Bullish change | -20 | -19 | ||
BoE MPC Vote Rate Cut | Bullish change | 9 | 1 | ||
BoE MPC Vote Rate Hike | (no change) | 0 | 0 | ||
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | (no change) | 5.9% | 5.9% | ||
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | Bearish change | 6.1% | 5.8% | ||
Claimant Count Change | Bearish change | 2.8K | 44.2K | ||
Claimant Count Rate | Bearish change | 4.5% | 4.7% | ||
Employment Change (3M) | Bullish change | 107K | 144K | ||
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) | (no change) | 4.4% | 4.4% | ||
Consumer Inflation Expectations | Bullish change | 3% | 3.4% | ||
Gross Domestic Product (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.4% | -0.1% | ||
Industrial Production (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.5% | -0.9% | ||
Manufacturing Production (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.7% | -1.1% |
Country: | United Kingdom |
---|---|
Currency: | GBP |
Source: | Office for National Statistics |
Category: | Inflation |
Frequency: | Monthly |