Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)

The Retail Sales ex-fuel released by the National Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the British retail sector excluding fuel. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Pound, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Friday 21 February 2025 07:00

Previous
2.1%
Revised
2.1%
Forecast
0.5%
Actual
1.2%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Next event - Friday 28 March 2025 07:00

Previous
1.2%
Forecast
0.4%
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) is 0.4%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) was 1.2% against a forecast of 0.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 21 February 2025 07:00
0.5%
1.2%
Friday 17 January 2025 07:00
3.6%
2.9%
Friday 20 December 2024 07:00
0.7%
0.1%
Friday 22 November 2024 07:00
3.3%
2%
Friday 18 October 2024 06:00
3.2%
4%
Friday 20 September 2024 06:00
1.1%
2.3%
Friday 16 August 2024 06:00
1.4%
1.4%
Friday 19 July 2024 06:00
0.2%
-0.8%
Friday 21 June 2024 06:00
-0.8%
1.2%
Friday 24 May 2024 06:00
-1.1%
-3%
Friday 19 April 2024 06:00
-
0.4%
Friday 22 March 2024 07:00
-0.9%
-0.5%
Friday 16 February 2024 07:00
-1.6%
0.7%
Friday 19 January 2024 07:00
1.3%
-2.1%
Friday 22 December 2023 07:00
-1.5%
0.3%
Friday 17 November 2023 07:00
-1.5%
-2.4%
Friday 20 October 2023 06:00
0%
-1.2%
Friday 22 September 2023 06:00
-1.3%
-1.4%
Friday 18 August 2023 06:00
-2.2%
-3.4%
Friday 21 July 2023 06:00
-1.6%
-0.9%
Friday 23 June 2023 06:00
-2.1%
-1.7%
Friday 26 May 2023 06:00
-2.8%
-2.6%
Friday 21 April 2023 06:00
-3.1%
-3.2%
Friday 24 March 2023 07:00
-4.7%
-3.3%
Friday 17 February 2023 07:00
-5.3%
-5.3%
Friday 20 January 2023 07:00
-4.4%
-6.1%
Friday 16 December 2022 07:00
-5.8%
-5.9%
Friday 18 November 2022 07:00
-6.7%
-6.7%
Friday 21 October 2022 06:00
-4.1%
-6.2%
Friday 16 September 2022 06:00
-3.4%
-5%
Friday 19 August 2022 06:00
-3.1%
-3%
Friday 22 July 2022 06:00
-6.3%
-5.9%
Friday 24 June 2022 06:00
-5.1%
-5.7%
Friday 20 May 2022 06:00
-8.4%
-6.1%
Friday 22 April 2022 06:00
0.7%
-0.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%2.8%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.7%3.5%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.6%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.6%3.4%
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBullish change50.552
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBearish change46.944.6
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBullish change5153.2
GfK Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-20-19
BoE MPC Vote Rate CutBullish change91
BoE MPC Vote Rate Hike(no change)00
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)(no change)5.9%5.9%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change6.1%5.8%
Claimant Count ChangeBearish change2.8K44.2K
Claimant Count RateBearish change4.5%4.7%
Employment Change (3M)Bullish change107K144K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)(no change)4.4%4.4%
Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change3%3.4%
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.1%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.9%
Manufacturing Production (MoM)Bearish change0.7%-1.1%

About Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
Continue to site >

Personal Trade Copier

Trade Mirror

Trading Simulator

Figaro App Suite

Publisher EA

Figaro Connector EA

All Trader Downloads

All Developer Downloads

Currency Strength

Trader Sentiment

Price Alerts

Mini Charts

Premium Charting

Market Scanner

All Tools

Next High Impact Events

Week View

Next 24 Hours

Session Map

Chart View

Future Events

Past Events

Big Market Movers

Compare Brokers

Broker Offers

Market Analysis

Price Action News

Broker News

Example Analysis

Widgets

FAQ

Statement

Stats

Risk analysis

Widgets

Portfolio

FAQ

Please Log In
Not yet a user?