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UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

The University of Michigan's Survey of Consumers includes a long-run, five-year, inflation expectation component that the Fed uses when calculating its quarterly Index of Common Inflation Expectations.

Most recent - Friday 15 August 2025 14:00

Previous
3.4%
Forecast
-
Actual
3.9%

Next event - Friday 29 August 2025 14:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation was 3.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 15 August 2025 14:00
-
3.9%
Friday 1 August 2025 14:00
3.6%
3.4%
Friday 18 July 2025 14:00
-
3.6%
Friday 27 June 2025 14:00
4.1%
4%
Friday 13 June 2025 14:00
-
4.1%
Friday 30 May 2025 14:00
4.6%
4.2%
Friday 16 May 2025 14:00
-
4.6%
Friday 25 April 2025 14:00
4.4%
4.4%
Friday 11 April 2025 14:00
-
4.4%
Friday 28 March 2025 14:00
3.9%
4.1%
Friday 14 March 2025 14:00
-
3.9%
Friday 21 February 2025 15:00
3.3%
3.5%
Friday 7 February 2025 15:00
-
3.3%
Friday 24 January 2025 15:00
3.3%
3.2%
Friday 10 January 2025 15:00
-
3.3%
Friday 20 December 2024 15:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 6 December 2024 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 22 November 2024 15:00
3.1%
3.2%
Friday 8 November 2024 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 25 October 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 11 October 2024 14:00
-
3%
Friday 27 September 2024 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 13 September 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 30 August 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 16 August 2024 14:00
-
3%
Friday 26 July 2024 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 12 July 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 28 June 2024 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 June 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 24 May 2024 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 10 May 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 26 April 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 12 April 2024 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 28 March 2024 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 15 March 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 1 March 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 16 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 19 January 2024 15:00
-
2.8%
Friday 22 December 2023 15:00
2.8%
2.9%
Friday 8 December 2023 15:00
-
2.8%
Wednesday 22 November 2023 15:00
3.2%
3.2%
Friday 10 November 2023 15:00
-
3.2%
Friday 27 October 2023 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 13 October 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 September 2023 14:00
2.7%
2.8%
Friday 15 September 2023 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 25 August 2023 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 11 August 2023 14:00
3%
2.9%
Friday 28 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 30 June 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 16 June 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 26 May 2023 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 12 May 2023 14:00
-
3.2%
Friday 28 April 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 14 April 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 31 March 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 17 March 2023 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 February 2023 15:00
2.9%
2.9%
Friday 10 February 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 27 January 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 13 January 2023 15:00
-
3%
Friday 23 December 2022 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 9 December 2022 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 23 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 28 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 14 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 16 September 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 26 August 2022 14:00
-
2.9%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation result:

PreviousLatest
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.393M1.354M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.321M1.428M
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change4.5%4.9%
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change57.757.2
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change61.758.6
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.1%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change5.511.9
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.9%0.5%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.8%0.5%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change227K224K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.9%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%3.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0%0.9%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.6%3.7%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$27B$-291B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.7%2.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.9%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change218K226K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change-1.8%2.4%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change6.9%1.6%

About UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:University of Michigan
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly

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