Challenges
Claimant Count Change
Most recent - Tuesday 12 August 2025 06:00
Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.
Trading range
Forecast history
The most recent announced value for Claimant Count Change was -6.2K against a forecast of 20.8K.
Past events
Economic context
Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Claimant Count Change result:
| Previous | Latest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Price Index (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.3% | 0.1% | ||
| Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bullish change | 3.6% | 3.8% | ||
| Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) | Bullish change | 3.7% | 3.8% | ||
| Retail Price Index (MoM) | (no change) | 0.4% | 0.4% | ||
| Retail Price Index (YoY) | Bullish change | 4.4% | 4.8% | ||
| Gross Domestic Product (MoM) | Bullish change | -0.1% | 0.4% | ||
| Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) | Bearish change | 0.7% | 0.3% | ||
| Gross Domestic Product (YoY) | Bearish change | 1.3% | 1.2% | ||
| Industrial Production (MoM) | Bullish change | -1.3% | 0.7% | ||
| Manufacturing Production (MoM) | Bullish change | -1% | 0.5% | ||
| Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | (no change) | 5% | 5% | ||
| Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | Bearish change | 5% | 4.6% | ||
| Claimant Count Rate | (no change) | 4.4% | 4.4% | ||
| Employment Change (3M) | Bullish change | 134K | 239K | ||
| ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) | (no change) | 4.7% | 4.7% | ||
| BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY) | Bearish change | 2.7% | 1.8% | ||
| BoE MPC Vote Rate Cut | Bearish change | 3 | 5 | ||
| BoE MPC Vote Rate Hike | (no change) | 0 | 0 |
About Claimant Count Change
| Country: | United Kingdom |
|---|---|
| Currency: | GBP |
| Source: | Office for National Statistics |
| Category: | Labor Market |
| Frequency: | Monthly |